Santa Clarita Valley Real Estate in 2025: Key Market Trends & What’s Next

What’s happening in the Santa Clarita housing market right now, and what should buyers and sellers in Valencia, Stevenson Ranch, Canyon Country, Saugus, and beyond be watching?

The Santa Clarita Valley real estate market in 2025 is entering a nuanced phase: prices remain relatively stable, inventory is gradually expanding, and mortgage dynamics are shifting. While demand continues, the balance of power between buyers and sellers is evolving, making this a pivotal time for local market participants.

📊 Current Trends in the Santa Clarita Valley Market

1. Home Prices: Holding Steady, With Some Variability

• • According to Redfin, the median sale price in Santa Clarita recently hit $799,000, up 2.4% year-over-year. Redfin
  • However, Zillow reports a slightly different trend: the average home value in Santa Clarita is $792,063, which reflects a 2.1% decline over the past year (as of October 2025). Zillow+1
  • Local broker reports (Rod McIntosh) place the median around $820,000, with notable differences by neighborhood: Stevenson Ranch remains strong at ~$1.1 M, while Newhall averages closer to $730,000. Rod McIntosh Blog
  • According to the 35 Oaks Property Group, April 2025 pricing by area: Valencia ~$872,500; Saugus ~$829,000; Castaic ~$846,300; Canyon Country ~$831,250. 35oakspropertygroup.com

Insight: The Santa Clarita market is stabilizing. While there's year-over-year appreciation in some sources, others show slight downward movement, suggesting more balance than a red-hot seller’s market.

2. Inventory Is Climbing

• • As reported by Home 661 in September 2025, inventory in SCV is around 3.5 months, still low but creeping up. Home 661
  • Southland Regional Association of REALTORS® data shows that in February 2025, the inventory of homes jumped significantly, active listings of single-family homes rose 49% year-over-year. srar.com
  • Also, in 2024, there was a double-digit increase in listings compared to previous years. srar.com

Insight: More listings are coming on, easing some of the supply crunch. This could gradually shift negotiating power or give buyers more options — though it’s not yet a buyer’s market in a traditional sense.

3. Sales Activity & Market Speed

• • According to Home 661 (Feb 2025), the average days on market reached 50 days, showing that homes are staying listed longer. Home 661
  • In more competitive sub-markets, such as Stevenson Ranch, homes still move quickly (Rod McIntosh reports as few as 11 days on market for some homes), but in other areas like Newhall, the timeline is slower. Rod McIntosh Blog
  • The October 2025 snapshot from your own market update (on your blog) notes that while active listings are up, pending sales are down, suggesting buyers are being more selective. californialivingtoday.com

Insight: Buyer urgency isn’t as intense as in more frenzied markets, but serious buyers remain. Sellers should price thoughtfully, and buyers may have a bit more negotiation room, especially on homes that don’t fly off the market.

4. Interest Rates & Affordability

• • Home 661 reports that interest rates have come down in SCV, with some buyers quoted as low as 5.5% depending on credit. Home 661
  • On a statewide level, the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.) forecasts existing home sales in 2025 will tick up, driven by a slightly more favorable interest rate environment. California Association of Realtors
  • Looking ahead, C.A.R. projects the California median home price to rise to $905,000 in 2026, up 3.6% from its 2025 forecast. California Association of Realtors

Insight: Cooling rates could make buying more attractive again, especially for those who may have been locked out. If affordability nudges up, more homeowners may list, and buyers will likely be more active.

5. Investor Activity & Broader Market Pressures

• • Across California, nearly 20% of homes are now investor-owned, according to recent reporting, a trend that could impact affordability. The Guardian
  • Meanwhile, local buyers and sellers in SCV will need to watch not just inventory and rates, but capital flows and investor behavior that may affect long-term pricing and supply.

Insight: As investors claim a larger slice of housing, local dynamics could tighten for traditional buyers — or drive competition in ways that reshape supply.

🧭 Strategic Implications for Buyers & Sellers

For Buyers:

• • More inventory means more choices, but don’t expect wholesale discounts.
  • With slightly lower rates, locking in now could make sense if you’re ready.
  • Be strategic: target motivated sellers and homes that may be priced for longer market times.

For Sellers:

• • Price your home realistically; overpricing may keep your listing on the market.
  • Highlight key features, stage well, and market your property aggressively.
  • Be prepared for more negotiation as inventory rises.

For Investors:

• • Local trends suggest stable demand, but long-term returns will depend on how rates and supply continue to evolve.
    

✅ Final Thoughts

The Santa Clarita Valley real estate market is showing signs of maturity in 2025. Prices are stable, inventory is growing, and buyers are becoming more deliberate, but demand remains. For both buyers and sellers, now is a moment to act strategically: not under pressure, but with intention.

If you're thinking of buying or selling in Valencia, Stevenson Ranch, Newhall, Saugus, Castaic, or anywhere in the SCV, I’d love to help you navigate these trends.